Powell Prophesies the Digital
Revolution |
12/18. Federal Communications Commission
(FCC) Chairman Michael Powell
gave a speech
[10 pages in PDF] to the Chicago Economic Club titled "And a Child Shall Lead
Them".
The title is an allusion to the Prophet Isaiah. (See,
Isaiah 11, Verse 6.) The theme of Powell's speech was that it is the "kids" or
the "digital generation" that will lead the adoption and use of new
technologies. He said that "Our kids and the
technologies that they embrace shows us what our society will look like from a
personal perspective and, by extension, what business will look like as it
adapts to accommodate these new citizens."
He cited as examples his own kids' use of technology. For example, one of his
sons "hates television", because "He must command his medium".
The lad "expects nothing less than to be within arms link of some digital device
and to be plugged into the net whenever he wants."
Powell
(at right) also said that kids are "comfortable with this
technology and they present enormous opportunities for new markets, new
products, and new services. But, beware. If you do not move to serve their needs
in the way that they require, they know how to use the technology to help
themselves."
Powell cited Napster as an example, He said that it demonstrated that kids "want
to program the album and assemble songs in collections to their liking. They do
not want the record label putting 1 great song in a package with 10 crummy songs
and forcing them to buy the whole thing at ridiculously high prices. If industry
will not serve that need, this generation will do it themselves. Nineteen year
old Shawn Fanning invented Napster because the record labels didn't. While the
record business will fight back, they may have lost a whole generation of
consumers that have come to expect free music."
Free Markets. It was not a speech about how to regulate. Rather it was
Powell's overview of the direction of various technologies, and the progress of convergence.
He discussed old industries over which the FCC has
statutory authority (such as phone, cable, and broadcast), and new industries
over which the FCC does not have statutory authority (such as software,
computer, and networking). Finally, without addressing specific proceedings, he
offered his view of what this digital revolution means for competitors and for regulators.
His vision for regulators is limited. Free markets, individual freedom,
consumer choice and control, and limiting regulation, is the best policy.
"We must place our faith in entrepreneurs and not extinguish the burning energy
of innovation with the wet blanket of over-regulation, as some seem to prefer",
said Powell.
He said in this speech that "A revolution is rarely government led." (Thus,
he did not cover the FCC's efforts to plan a transition to digital
television.)
Internet Paradigm. Powell spoke at length about his understanding of
many of the developments in technology. For example, he opined that "To boil it
all down, more and more power will be shifted to
individuals. Traditionally, in communication services, a corporate carrier and a
regulator stand at the center of everything. The service provider controls the
brains of the network and regulators set the rules. The carrier makes decisions
about when your phone rings, what number you will have, what services are
available to you and at what price. Your telephone is a dumb machine. You have
little role in this system other than to pay your bill."
"The Internet paradigm puts more of those choices into the hands
of individuals at the edge of the network", said Powell. "This is a radical
departure from the cozy world of telephone regulation. Consumers, like our
children, will be more in command."
Brutal Competition. The Book of Isaiah states that "The wolf also
shall dwell with the lamb, and the leopard shall lie down with the kid; and the
calf and the young lion and the fatling together; and a little child shall lead
them." In Isaiah's prophecy, even natural enemies shall live in peace together.
In contrast, Powell's vision for the future of technology is more Schumpeter
than Isaiah. Powell predicts that "competition in communications is going to be
brutally intense." (See, Joseph Schumpeter,
Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy.)
Incumbent companies will have to "rebuild their infrastructure in order to
compete with new digital age companies". Powell continued that
"they have to invest capital today to generate uncertain revenue tomorrow that
may cannibalize today's business. They have little choice, however, for if they don't
someone else will and they will be dead."
"Cable companies have had to rebuild their networks to compete
with digital satellite systems. Telephone companies have to upgrade their copper
voice lines to compete with cable TV’s broadband service. Television
broadcasters have to replace their analog service with digital television to
compete with cable and satellite. All this investment is critical if one hopes
to have any chance to compete for the business of the digital generation."
Powell said the increasing competition will come for a variety
of reasons. First there is the shift in government policy from support for
monopolies to competition. Second, there is the "rapid technological erosion of
the walls that separated different industry segments from each other."
Moreover, "The Internet threat is even greater.
Over the Internet, applications are separated from the infrastructure. Now,
services can all be software applications that ride over the platform as bits.
... The fact that applications are divorced from infrastructure means companies
like Microsoft, Intel and Apple are suddenly competitors to traditional
communications companies."
In Powell's prediction, "Companies will have to operate faster,
more nimble organizations. They will have to get comfortable with greater risk
taking and with failure. They will have to invest in research and development.
Small companies unburdened by a legacy network will spring up constantly and
attack."
But, like Schumpeter, Powell welcomes this competition and creative destruction.
He said that "At the FCC we are moving in a direction that embraces revolutionary
change." And, "We look to the Internet, entrepreneurs and technology for
the world of tomorrow, rather than the telephone, monopoly and dated
regulation."
FCC Proceedings. Powell made a few vague references that pertain to some
ongoing proceeding, or proceeding likely to be initiated soon.
Powell discussed voice over internet protocol (VOIP). But, he only addressed
the new technologies. He said nothing about how the FCC might classify various
VOIP services for regulatory purposes, or whether the FCC might extend universal
service, E-911, CALEA, or other legacy rules to any VOIP services.
Powell also briefly referenced the FCC's local number portability (LNP) rules
when discussing new phone technologies, the ultrawideband (UWB) rules when
discussing electronic devices for the home, and the FCC's allocation of more
spectrum for unlicensed devices when discussing Wi-Fi developments.
He also alluded to the FCC's triennial review order, released on August 21, 2003.
While discussing what the FCC is doing to promote broadband deployment, he
stated that "We have adopted policies that
provide incentives for building fiber to homes, by limiting unnecessary
regulations so that entrepreneurs can focus on their work and not on filling out
regulatory forms and hiring lobbyists."
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FCC Releases Telephone Subscriber Data |
12/22. The Federal Communications Commission
(FCC) Wireless Competition Bureau's (WCB)
Industry Analysis and Technology Division (IATD) released a
report [21 pages in PDF]
titled "Local Telephone Competition: Status as of June 30, 2003". See also, FCC
release
[PDF].
The report shows that the total number of reported end user switched access
lines continues to decline. However, the number reported by competitive local
exchange carriers (CLECs) continues to grow. The data in the table below is
taken from Table 1 of the report.
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ILEC Lines |
CLEC Lines |
Total Lines |
June 2002 |
167,472,318 |
21,644,928 |
189,117,246 |
Dec. 2002 |
162,742,937 |
24,780,979 |
187,523,916 |
June 2003 |
155,922,118 |
26,890,594 |
182,812,712 |
The report shows that the reported number of mobile wireless telephone subscribers
continues to grow. The report states that the total reported for June 2002 was
130,751,459. For December 2002 it was 138,878,293. And, for June 2003 it was
147,623,734. (See, Table 13.)
The report shows that cable telephony grew modestly in the first
half of 2003. The report states that the number of CLEC coaxial cable lines
reported for June 2002 was 2,597,000. For December 2003 it was 2,988,000. And,
for June 2003 it was 3,028,000.
The report also states that "CLECs reported providing about 18%
(a decline from 43% in December 1999) of their switched access lines by
reselling the services of other carriers and about 58% (an increase from 24% in
December 1999) by means of unbundled network elements (UNEs) leased from other
carriers. The remainder of CLEC lines was provided over local-loop facilities
owned by the CLECs."
It also states that "ILECs reported providing about 27% more
unbundled network element (UNE) loops with switching to unaffiliated carriers at
the end of June 2003 than they reported six months earlier (13.0 million
compared to 10.2 million) and about 1% fewer UNE loops without switching (about
4.2 million compared to 4.3 million)."
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More FCC News |
12/22. The Federal Communications Commission
(FCC) released a
report [715 pages in PDF] titled "Universal
Service Monitoring Report; CC Docket No. 98-202; 2003". See also, FCC
release
[2 pages in PDF]. This report covers all of the FCC universal service subsidy programs,
including low income support, high cost support, the e-rate program, and rural
health care support.
12/22. The Federal Communications Commission
(FCC) announced that "In response to the December 21, 2003 increase in the
Homeland Security Threat Level from "Elevated" (Yellow) to "High"
(Orange), the FCC has taken additional security precautions that will limit visitor
access to the FCC headquarters building in Washington, DC. Until further notice, the
Maine Avenue lobby is closed. All visitors must enter the building through the 12th
Street lobby, and must be escorted by FCC staff. The Reference Information
Center is closed. Filing and docket information remains accessible
online."
12/17. The Federal Communications Commission
(FCC) announced that it has adopted a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking and Order that
contains proposals, and seeks comments, regarding the use and applications of
cognitive, or smart, radio systems. This item is FCC 03-322 in ET Docket No.
03-108 and ET Docket No. 00-47. The FCC issued only a
press release [PDF] describing the NPRM and Order. It states that "The
Notice seeks comment on the ways in which the Commission can encourage and
remove regulatory impediments to continued development and deployment of smart
radio technologies, including, for example, facilitating the ability of licensed
spectrum users to deploy them for their own use to increase spectrum efficiency,
and to facilitate secondary markets, allowing licensees to lease their spectrum
access to third parties using such technologies. The Notice also seeks comment
on ways in which smart radios can facilitate opportunistic use of the spectrum
by unlicensed devices, while protecting incumbents from harmful interference."
See also,
separate statement [PDF] of Chairman
Michael Powell, separate
statement [PDF] of Commissioner Kevin
Martin, separate
statement [PDF]
of Commissioner
Michael Copps, and separate
statement [PDF]
of Commissioner
Jonathan Adelstein.
12/17. The Federal Communications Commission
(FCC) announced that it has adopted a Report and Order regarding intelligent
transport systems. This item adopts licensing and service rules for
the 5.850-5.925 GHz band for Dedicated Short-Range Communications (DSRC) in the
Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) Radio Service. This item is FCC 03-324
in WT Docket No. 01-90. See, FCC
press release [PDF] describing this item. See also,
separate statement [PDF] of Chairman
Michael Powell, and
statement [PDF] of Commissioner
Jonathan Adelstein.
12/17. The Federal Communications Commission
(FCC) announced that it has adopted a Third Report and Order and Second Further
Notice of Proposed Rulemaking pertaining to the administration of the FCC's
e-rate subsidy program for schools and libraries. This item
is FCC 03-323 in Docket No. 02-6. The FCC issued a
press release [PDF] describing this item.
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Notice |
The TLJ Daily E-Mail Alert will not be published on Wednesday, December 24,
Thursday, December 25, or Friday, December 26.
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IRS Plans Crack Down on Charitable
Contributions Deductions Involving Transfers of Intellectual Property |
The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) issued a
notice [3 pages in PDF]
that states that the IRS "is aware that some taxpayers that transfer patents or
other intellectual property to charitable organizations are claiming charitable
contribution deductions in excess of the amounts to which they are entitled
under § 170 of the Internal Revenue Code."
IRS Commissioner
Mark Everson
(at right) stated in a
release that "We're seeing an increasing number of donations that don't pass
the smell test. Donations that are overly inflated or made with strings attached are
going to receive increased scrutiny."
The IRS notice provides more detail. It states that "the IRS has become aware
of purported charitable contributions of intellectual property in which one or
more of the following issues are present: 1) transfer of a nondeductible partial
interest in intellectual property; 2) the taxpayer’s expectation or receipt of a
benefit in exchange for the transfer; 3) inadequate substantiation of the
contribution; and 4) overvaluation of the intellectual property transferred."
The notice warns that "The purpose of this notice is to advise taxpayers
that, in appropriate cases, the IRS intends to disallow all or part of these
improper deductions and may impose penalties under § 6662. In addition, this
notice advises promoters and appraisers that the IRS intends to review
promotions of transactions involving these improper deductions, and that the
promoters and appraisers of the intellectual property may be subject to
penalties under §§ 6700, 6701, and 6694."
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Solicitor General Files Brief in COPA Case |
12/16. The Department of Justice's
(DOJ) Office of the Solicitor General
(OSG) filed its
brief on the merits with the U.S.
Supreme Court in Ashcroft v. ACLU,
a case regarding the constitutionality of the Child Online Protection Act (COPA).
This will be the second time for the Supreme Court to consider the COPA,
which bans sending to minors over the web material that is harmful to minors. On
March 6, 2003 the U.S. Court of Appeals
(3rdCir) issued its
opinion [59 pages
in PDF] holding the COPA unconstitutional on First Amendment grounds.
The COPA provides, in part, that "Whoever knowingly and with knowledge of the
character of the material, in interstate or foreign commerce by means of the
World Wide Web, makes any communication for commercial purposes that is
available to any minor and that includes any material that is harmful to minors
shall be fined not more than $50,000, imprisoned not more than 6 months, or
both."
The COPA further provides that "It is an affirmative defense to prosecution
under this section that the defendant, in good faith, has restricted access by
minors to material that is harmful to minors ... by requiring use of a credit
card, debit account, adult access code, or adult personal identification number
... by accepting a digital certificate that verifies age; or ... by any other
reasonable measures that are feasible under available technology." The COPA is
now codified at 47
U.S.C. § 231.
The OSG argues that the COPA "is narrowly tailored to further the
government's compelling interest in shielding minors from material that is
harmful to them. It therefore does not violate the First Amendment."
This case is John Ashcroft v. American Civil Liberties Union,
Supreme Court of the U.S., No. 03-218, on petition for writ of certiorari to the
U.S. Court of Appeals for the 3rd Circuit.
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People and Appointments |
12/18. John Pistole was named Executive Assistant Director (EAD) for
Counterterrorism and Counterintelligence at the
Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI). He has been Assistant Director for
Counterterrorism since September 2003. He has worked for the FBI since 1983.
See, FBI
release.
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More News |
12/22. The General Accounting Office (GAO)
released a report [64 pages
in PDF] titled "Information Technology: Architecture Needed to Guide NASA's
Financial Management Modernization". The report was prepared for the
Chairman and ranking Democrats on the Senate Commerce Committee and the House
Science Committee.
12/19. The National Institute of Standards and
Technology's (NIST) Computer Security Division
(CSD) release the first draft
of a report titled "NIST Special Publication 800-60, Guide for Mapping Types of
Information and Information Systems to Security Categories". See,
Volume I
[PDF] and
Volume
II [PDF]. Public comments are due by February 20, 2004. The NIST will hold a
two day conference on February 26-27, 2004. However, it will be closed to the public.
12/22. The Copyright Office adopted a
new seal. It will be used to authenticate copyright registrations,
certifications of documents and other official documents. See,
notice [PDF] in the Federal Register, December 22, 2003, Vol. 68, No. 245,
at Pages 71171. The seal appears to be a big circle, with a big letter C inside
the circle -- that is, the copyright symbol, ©. In addition, there is an eagle
perched in the letter C, with its wings spread, and a shield on its chest. It
resembles the eagle on the back of the one dollar bill. Although, unlike many
other government eagles, the Copyright Eagle clutches no arrows in its talons --
not even a § 512(h)
subpoena.
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Washington Tech Calendar
New items are highlighted in red. |
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Tuesday, December 23 |
The House is in adjournment.
The Senate is in adjournment. (It will convene on January 20, 2004.)
The
Supreme Court is in recess. (It will return on January
12, 2004.)
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Thursday, December 25 |
Christmas. Executive branch agencies will be closed.
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Friday, December 26 |
Executive branch agencies will be closed. See,
Executive Order.
Deadline to submit reply comments to the Federal
Communications Commission (FCC) in response to its notice of proposed
rulemaking (NPRM) regarding digital low power television and television
translator stations. This is FCC 03-198, in MB Docket No. 03-185. See,
notice in the Federal Register, September 26, 2003, Vol. 68, No. 187, at
Pages 55566 - 55573.
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Monday, December 29 |
Deadline to submit comments to the Federal
Communications Commission (FCC) regarding its notice of proposed rulemaking
(NPRM) pertaining to promoting spectrum based services in rural areas. See,
notice in the Federal Register summarizing this NPRM, and story titled "FCC
Announces NPRM Regarding Regulations Affecting the Use of Spectrum in Rural
Areas" in TLJ Daily
E-Mail Alert No. 739, September 15, 2003. This NPRM is FCC 03-222 in WT
Docket Nos. 02-381, 01-14, and 03-202. The FCC adopted this NPRM on September
10, 2003, and released it on October 6, 2003. See, Federal Register, November
12, 2003, Vol. 68, No. 218, at Pages 64050-64072.
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Wednesday, December 31 |
Deadline to submit a paper or panel proposal for
the National Institute of Standards and Technology's
(NIST) Spam Technology Workshop to be held on February 27, 2004. For more
information, contact Joan Hash at 301 975-3357. See,
notice in the Federal Register, November 25, 2003, Vol. 68, No. 227, at
Pages 66075 - 66076.
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Thursday, January 1 |
News Years Day.
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Friday, January 2 |
The Federal
Communications Commission's (FCC) new broadcast flag mandate takes effect. The
FCC announced and released its
Report
and Order Further Notice of Proposed Rulemaking [72 pages in PDF] on
November 4, 2003. This item is FCC 03-273 in MB Docket 02-230. See,
notice in the Federal Register (December 3, 2003, Vol. 68, No. 232, at
Pages 67599 - 67607) summarizing and stating the effective date of
these rules. For more information, contact
Rick Chessen rchessen@fcc.gov or Susan Mort at
smort@fcc.gov or 202-418-7200. See also,
stories titled "FCC Releases Broadcast Flag Rule" in TLJ Daily E-Mail Alert
No. 772, November 5, 2003; and "FCC Publishes Notices Regarding Broadcast Flag
Proceeding" in TLJ Daily E-Mail Alert No. 794, December 8, 2003.
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