Bernanke Discusses Trade |
8/25. Ben Bernanke,
Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board
(FRB), gave a
speech in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, titled "Global Economic Integration: What's
New and What's Not?". He reviewed the history of international trade,
discussed the role of technology innovation and communications in trade, offered
several conclusions about the history of trade, and commented on recent
developments in trade, government policy, and protectionism.
Bernanke (at right) said that "Perhaps the
clearest conclusion is that new technologies that reduce the costs of transportation and
communication have been a major factor supporting global economic integration. Of course,
technological advance is itself affected by the economic incentives for inventive activity;
these incentives increase with the size of the market, creating something of a virtuous
circle. For example, in the nineteenth century, the high potential return to improving
communications between Europe and the United States prompted intensive work to better
understand electricity and to improve telegraph technology -- efforts that together helped
make the trans-Atlantic cable possible."
He said that another "conclusion from history is that national policy choices may be
critical determinants of the extent of international economic integration."
Also, "A third observation is that social dislocation, and consequently often
social resistance, may result when economies become more open. An important
source of dislocation is that -- as the principle of comparative advantage
suggests -- the expansion of trade opportunities tends to change the mix of
goods that each country produces and the relative returns to capital and labor.
The resulting shifts in the structure of production impose costs on workers and
business owners in some industries and thus create a constituency that opposes
the process of economic integration. More broadly, increased economic
interdependence may also engender opposition by stimulating social or cultural
change, or by being perceived as benefiting some groups much more than others."
He said that recently, "technological advances continue to play an important
role in facilitating global integration. For example, dramatic improvements in
supply-chain management, made possible by advances in communication and computer
technologies, have significantly reduced the costs of coordinating production
among globally distributed suppliers."
He added that there "is the continued broadening of the range of products
that are viewed as tradable. In part, this broadening simply reflects the wider
range of goods available today -- high-tech consumer goods, for example -- as
well as ongoing declines in transportation costs. Particularly striking,
however, is the extent to which information and communication technologies now
facilitate active international trade in a wide range of services, from call center
operations to sophisticated financial, legal, medical, and engineering services."
Moreover, said Bernanke, "production processes are becoming geographically
fragmented to an unprecedented degree. Rather than producing goods in a single
process in a single location, firms are increasingly breaking the production
process into discrete steps and performing each step in whatever location allows
them to minimize costs. For example, the U.S. chip producer AMD locates most of
its research and development in California; produces in Texas, Germany, and
Japan; does final processing and testing in Thailand, Singapore, Malaysia, and
China; and then sells to markets around the globe."
He also discussed recent developments in international capital markets. He
noted that "capital flows now take many more forms than in the past: In the
nineteenth century, international portfolio investments were concentrated in the
finance of infrastructure projects (such as the American railroads) and in the purchase of
government debt. Today, international investors hold an array of debt instruments, equities,
and derivatives, including claims on a broad range of sectors."
(Parentheses in original.)
He also said that the role of government policy remains critical. He
commented that "Progress in trade liberalization has continued in recent decades
-- though not always at a steady pace, as the recent Doha Round negotiations
demonstrate. Moreover, the institutional framework supporting global trade, most
importantly the World Trade Organization, has expanded and strengthened over
time. Regional frameworks and agreements, such as the North American Free Trade
Agreement and the European Union's ``single market,´´ have also promoted trade.
Government restrictions on international capital flows have generally declined,
and the "soft infrastructure" supporting those flows -- for example, legal
frameworks and accounting rules--have improved, in part through international
cooperation."
He continued that as has happened at previous times in history, "social and
political opposition to rapid economic integration has also emerged."
He cautioned that "Further progress in global economic integration should not
be taken for granted", both because of "international tensions and the risks of
terrorism", and because of "social and political opposition to openness".
He elaborated that "this opposition ... arises because changes in the
patterns of production are likely to threaten the livelihoods of some workers
and the profits of some firms, even when these changes lead to greater
productivity and output overall. The natural reaction of those so affected is to
resist change, for example, by seeking the passage of protectionist measures.
The challenge for policymakers is to ensure that the benefits of global economic
integration are sufficiently widely shared -- for example, by helping displaced
workers get the necessary training to take advantage of new opportunities --
that a consensus for welfare-enhancing change can be obtained."
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Mandelson Urges US to Extend Trade Promotion
Authority |
8/23.
Peter Mandelson, the EC Commission for Trade, wrote a
piece that is published in his web site, and in New Straights Times, in which he
addressed Doha round negotiations.
He (at left) wrote that "The suspension
of negotiations in the WTO Doha Round is a painful blow for the global trading system. The
potential costs of indefinite suspension are high, both politically and economically. It will
hearten those who oppose more open trade in Europe, ASEAN and elsewhere. It has dented the
credibility of the WTO at a time of global economic and geopolitical uncertainty."
He added that "Doha is now losing the race against time. It cannot now be concluded
by the end of 2006. This means that the fast-track negotiating authority granted to the US
President by Congress will expire before the final deal can be approved. Unless President
Bush persuades Congress to renew his negotiators’ mandate, the talks have little prospect
of concluding for some years."
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USTR Meets With ASEAN
Ministers |
8/25. The Office of the U.S. Trade
Representative (USTR) stated in a
release the USTR Susan Schwab and representatives of the member nations of
the Association of Southeast Asian Nations
(ASEAN) signed a Trade and Investment Framework Arrangement (TIFA).
In addition, the US and ASEAN released a
joint statement regarding this
TIFA. It states that "The Ministers agreed that at the initial
stage the Work Plan will include initiatives to support the development of the
ASEAN Single Window, which will facilitate the flow of goods within ASEAN and
between ASEAN and the United States. It also will include cooperation on
sanitary and phytosanitary (SPS) issues to foster additional trade in specific
agricultural goods as well as cooperation on pharmaceutical regulatory issues
aimed at speeding the delivery of innovative medicines to ASEAN countries."
The joint statement also addresses Doha negotiations. It states that "The United States and ASEAN Members expressed regret on the suspension
of the Doha Development Agenda negotiations following the failure of WTO Members
to demonstrate the necessary flexibility to provide momentum for the final push
to conclude the negotiations." They also pledged close cooperation "to putting
the Doha Development Round back on track before the end of 2006".
Schwab (at right) also stated in the USTR
release that "I welcome the strong message from my ASEAN counterparts affirming their
commitment to work for a breakthrough in the agriculture and non-agriculture market access
negotiations, so we can put the Doha Round back on track before the end of this year. New
market access opportunities will be the litmus of the Round’s success."
Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and other nations are members of ASEAN.
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Washington Tech Calendar
New items are highlighted in red. |
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Friday, August 25 |
The House will next meet at 2:00 PM on Wednesday, September 6. See,
Republican Whip Notice.
The Senate will next meet at 11:00 AM on Tuesday, September 5.
Deadline to submit comments to the National Institute of Standards and
Technology's (NIST) Computer Security Division
regarding its
draft [159 pages in PDF] of Special Publication 800-53, Revision 1 (Second
Public Draft), titled "Recommended Security Controls for Federal Information
Systems".
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Monday, August 28 |
Deadline to submit comments to the
Department of Homeland Security (DHS)
regarding its proposed rule changes that would amend its
United States Visitor and Immigrant
Status Indicator Technology (US-VISIT) rules to extend US-VISIT
requirements to all aliens with the exception of aliens who are specifically
exempted and Canadian citizens applying for admission as B1/B2 visitors for
business or pleasure. See, notice in the Federal Register, July 27, 2006, Vol.
71, No. 144, at Pages 42605-42611.
Deadline to submit nominations of individuals for appointment to the
National Institute of Standards and Technology's
(NIST) Visiting Committee on Advanced Technology (VCAT). See,
notice in the Federal Register, August 11, 2006, Vol. 71, No. 155, at
Pages 46199-46200.
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Tuesday, August 29 |
LOCATION CHANGE. 10:00 AM. The
Internal Revenue Service (IRS) will hold a hearing regarding its notice of proposed
rule making pertaining to the application of
26 U.S.C. § 199, which provides a deduction for income attributable to domestic
production activities, to certain transactions involving computer software. See,
notice in the Federal Register, June 1, 2006, Vol. 71, No. 105, at Pages 31128-31129, and
notice in the Federal Register, July 31, 2006, Vol. 71, No. 146, at Page 43085.
Location: IRS Auditorium (New Carrollton location), 5000 Ellin Road, Lanham, MD.
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Wednesday, August 30 |
Deadline to submit comments to the
Internal Revenue Service (IRS) in response to its notice of proposed rule making
pertaining to the application of
26 U.S.C. § 199, which provides a deduction for income attributable to domestic
production activities, to certain transactions involving computer software. See,
notice in the Federal Register, June 1, 2006, Vol. 71, No. 105, at Pages
31128-31129.
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Thursday, August 31 |
11:00 AM. The
Cato Institute will host a panel discussion titled "Prospects for
Reform of U.S. Agricultural Policy -- With or without Doha". The speakers
will include Mike Johanns (Secretary of Agriculture), former Rep. Cal Dooley
(D-CA) (head of the Food Products Association), and Robert Thompson
(University of Illinois). See,
notice and registration
page. The event will be webcast by Cato. Lunch will follow the program.
Location: Cato, 1000 Massachusetts Ave., NW.
Deadline to submit comments to the National Institute of Standards and
Technology's (NIST) Computer Security Division regarding
its
draft [ZIP] of Special Publication (SP) 800-69, titled "Guidance for Securing
Microsoft Windows XP Home Edition: A NIST Security Configuration Checklist. See also,
summary. This
document provides guidance to telecommuting employees and those who maintain
home offices and use Windows XP Home Edition.
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Friday, September 1 |
8:50 AM - 12:20 PM. The American
Enterprise Institute (AEI) will host an event titled "The Keys to the Kingdom:
Intellectual Property Rights and Trade". At 9:00 AM there will be a panel titled
"Achievements and Challenges Two Years after the Enactment of the U.S.--Chile Free
Trade Agreement:. At 10:40 AM there will be a panel titled "Intellectual Property
as a Tool for Greater Economic Growth". See,
notice. Location: AEI, 12th floor, 1150 17th St., NW.
Effective date of the Federal Trade
Commission's (FTC) final rule amending Section 310.8 of its Telemarketing
Sales Rule (TSR) by revising the fees charged to entities for accessing the
National Do Not Call Registry. See,
notice in the Federal Register, July 31, 2006, Vol. 71, No. 146, at Pages
43048-43054.
Deadline to submit initial comments to the
Federal Communications Commission (FCC) for
its 2006 biennial review of telecommunications regulations. See, FCC
notice
[10 pages in PDF] and
notice in the Federal Register, August 23, 2006, Vol. 71, No. 163, at Pages 49400-49401.
This is CG Docket No. 06-152, EB Docket No. 06-153, IB Docket No. 06-154, ET Docket No.
06-155, WT Docket No. 06-156, WC Docket No. 06-157, and FCC 06-115.
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More News |
8/24. The White House press office released a short
document titled "Notice: Intention to Enter Into a Free Trade Agreement
with Colombia". In addition, President Bush sent a
letter
to the Speaker of the House and the President of the Senate regarding this
proposed FTA. He wrote that it will "will generate export opportunities for U.S.
farmers, ranchers, and companies, help create jobs in the United States, and
help American consumers save money while offering them more choices. The
Agreement will also benefit the people of Colombia by providing economic
opportunity and by strengthening democracy."
8/24. The Copyright Office announced
that some of its units have temporarily moved within the James Madison Memorial
Building of the Library of Congress, due to renovation. Telephone numbers and
e-mail addresses remain unchanged. The units, and their new locations, are as
follows:
Copyright Card Catalog: LM 464
Records Room: LM 464
Public Information Office: LM 430
Certifications & Documents: LM 436
8/21. The Progress and Freedom Foundation (PFF)
released its
Digital Economy Fact Book: Eighth Edition, 2006 [135 pages in PDF].
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